At the presidential level, I said Barack Obama with 364 EVs. The true result was Obama with 365. I was correct in 47.8 of my state predictions – I thought McCain would win Indiana and Obama would take Missouri, but the two flipped. Both states have 11 EVs, so it didn’t affect my overall total. I also failed to predict Obama would win an EV in Nebraska, one of only two states (along with Maine) that provides for the splitting of its EVs, something that had never happened before. So, 11 balances 11, but Omaha adds one.
At the Senate level, so far so good. I predicted the Democrats would flip seats in Alaska, Colorado, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Oregon, and Virginia. It took quite some time to sort out the Alaska race, but now that it’s been sorted out, I’m 7-7. I also predicted Coleman would beat Franken in Minnesota and Chambliss would beat Martin in Mississippi; those outcomes are still to be determined. At this point I would predict Chambliss in GA, but actually Franken in MN. We shall see.
All in all, though, I’m still perfect in the Senate, near perfect in the Electoral College, and darn good in the state-by-state count. Forgive the self-call, but if I do say so myself, that’s not that bad.